Econometrically accounting for identities and restrictions in models of interregional migration: further thoughts

The authors reply to some comments concerning "specification, estimation, and hypothesis testing in models of interregional migration which are internally consistent." They also attempt to clarify some additional conceptual matters in these three areas.     

Ethics and Marketing Management:: A Retrospective and Prospective Commentary

The Authors thank the Journal of Business Research for awarding its Quality and Impact in Marketing Scholarship Award to our 1985 article, “Ethics and Marketing Management.” In this article, provide a retrospective that examines how subsequent research has extended our findings and provide a prospective that suggests directions for future research.     

Contagion Entrepreneurship: Institutional Support,Strategic Incoherence,and the Social Costs of Over‐Entry

Existing literature on the legitimizing role of institutions tilts toward a “more is better” perspective, proffering the notion that the liabilities of smallness and newness can be mitigated through institutional policies that foster acceptance, trust, and confidence. Although this may seem reasonable, even desirable, institutional munificence can trigger massive over‐entry, potentially causing unintended consequences and unwanted social costs. Using a data set of nearly six million transaction‐level decisions involving all 612 companies and 56,240 permitted projects from a complete industry history, I find that unforeseen costs arise when small, early‐stage firms substitute the legitimizing effects of institutional support for strategic coherence. The findings are surprising and significant. While institutional support for new markets does in fact generate a surge in firm formations, the ill effects of munificence are evidenced by indiscriminate, contagion‐style market entry by unfit firms that perform poorly, fail quickly, and leave a long trail of regulatory violations in their collective wake. The study offers opportunities for scholars, practitioners, and policymakers to reassess the core assumptions related to the benefits and costs of institutional support for new industries, firms, and entrepreneurs.     

Growth and Renewal in the United States: Retooling America's Economic Engine*

New research by the McKinsey Global Institute (MGI) examines the growth challenge facing the United States and explores how U.S. business and government can contribute to the economy's renewal by reinvigorating their drive toward higher productivity. As baby boomers retire and the female participation rate plateaus, the U.S. economy will receive significantly less lift from increases in the labor force and will have to rely increasingly on productivity gains to fuel growth. The report finds that the United States needs a 34% acceleration in productivity growth if it is to match the GDP growth rates of the past 20 years—and that this is possible. Three‐quarters of the necessary productivity growth acceleration can come from the efforts of private‐sector companies operating within the current regulatory and business environment. Even the best‐performing companies and sectors still have headroom to boost productivity by emulating the best practice of others and tapping into new innovations, and coming up with new innovations of their own. The remaining one‐quarter—and more—can come from government and business working together to address barriers that now limit growth. MGI lays out a seven‐point agenda for action to spur productivity.     

Property and Industrial Organization in Communist and Capitalist Nations

Endogenous growth theorists argue that certain equity-enhancing social institutions enhance growth. Despite the centrality of inequality in these approaches, there is no sense in which economic actors exercise power or collective action to create and maintain social norms and rules that are personally advantageous but socially costly. This despite the work of neoclassical economists on rent-seeking, which posits that efforts to claim unearned revenues can pose significant costs for growth. The question of the impact of gender equity on economic growth is an instructive context for understanding these contradictions. Even though gender practices are inherently about the exercise of power, that they have become a feature of the neoclassical growth literature alights on obvious tensions in the neoclassical institutionalist paradigm. By incorporating insights from both the rent-seeking and feminist economics literatures, we will present analternative explanation of why gender hierarchies persist despite their obvious economic costs.     

An Extension and Further Validation of the Potential for Conflict Index

The Potential for Conflict Index (PCI) was developed to facilitate understanding and applicability of leisure, recreation, and human dimensions findings to managerial concerns. The PCI ranges from 0 (minimal potential for conflict) to 1 (maximum potential for conflict) and simultaneously describes a variable's central tendency, dispersion, and shape using a graphic display. This article (a) describes applications of the original formulation of the PCI (PCI₁) to illustrate the statistic's practical utility, (b) introduces the second generation of the PCI (PCI₂) and discusses enhancements incorporated in this version, (c) describes efforts to validate the PCI₂, and (d) offers suggestions for continuing the empirical validation process. Programs for calculating, graphing, and comparing PCI₂ values are freely available from http://welcome.warnercnr.colostate.edu/~jerryv.     

Exploiting volatility movements in the Sydney futures exchange's bank bill contract

An appropriate stochastic model was fitted to one year of data on the implied volatility of options on 90 day bank accepted bill futures contracts traded in the Sydney Futures Exchange. The model used was ARIMA augmented with day of the week variables, an option time to maturity variable, and recent values of historic volatility. The high ex-post predictive accuracy of the model was then employed as the central element of a strategy of buy low/sell high volatility.We employed two trading schemes with suitably constructed Delta neutral portfolios comprising bill futures and call and put options on those futures over a period of six months, to test whether speculative trading profit could be earned. The existence of trading profits before transaction costs validated the potential of the buy low/sell high volatility strategies to generate speculative profits. The absence of any such trading profits after transaction costs however, showed that the market pricing of these securities is such that the dependencies within implied volatility cannot be profitably exploited.This result may be interpreted as evidence supporting an hypothesis of a semi-strong form of market efficiency.     

A process model of the effects of price promotions on brand image

This article introduces a model to explain the process by which consumer satisfaction or dissatisfaction with price promotions can influence brand image. Specifically, the model explores conditions under which consumers experience satisfaction or dissatisfaction with price promotions, predicts ways that consumers might engage in various levels of attributional processing about price promotion satisfaction or dissatisfaction, and examines how consumer attributions of price promotion satisfaction or dissatisfaction influence brand image. Managerial implications and directions for future research are also offered. © 1994 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.